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A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731667
I examine the implications of learning-based asset pricing in a model in which firms face credit constraints that depend partly on their market value. Agents learn about stock prices, but have conditionally model-consistent expectations otherwise. The model jointly matches key asset price and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969719
-star disconnected from fundamentals. Monetary policy, through its influence on the private sector's beliefs, endogenously determines r …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293234
We study the role of homeownership in the effectiveness of monetary policy on households' expectations. Empirically, we find that homeowners revise down their near-term inflation expectations and their optimism about future labor market conditions in response to a rise in mortgage rates, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355012
information about productivity, regardless of which type of shock it arises from. Moreover, a decrease in economic uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254949
This paper presents a general framework for constructing and solving the multivariate static linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) rational inattention tracking problem. We interpret the nature of the solution and the implied action of the agent, and we construct representations that formalize how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803264
We examine the performance and robustness properties of monetary policy rules in an estimated macroeconomic model in which the economy undergoes structural change and where private agents and the central bank possess imperfect knowledge about the true structure of the economy. Policymakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729403
Standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models assume a Taylor rule and forecast an increase in interest rates immediately after the 2007-2009 economic recession given the predicted output and inflation, contradictory to the extended period of near-zero interest rate policy (ZIRP)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052892
Using a new-Keynesian model with endogenous capital accumulation, I show that uncertainty about fiscal policy can cause … monetary authority is not constrained by the ZLB. I study uncertainty about the level of government spending and uncertainty … about tax rates on consumption, wages, capital income, and investment. In my model, uncertainty about government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052742
under parameter uncertainty. We find that Bayesian and robust central banks will respond more aggressively to financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210437