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groups in the dispersion of household-specific rates of inflation. Using survey data on inflation expectations, I show that … demographic groups with greater dispersion in experienced inflation also disagree more about future inflation. I argue that these … results can be rationalized from the perspective of an imperfect information model in which idiosyncratic inflation experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043734
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181222
This paper studies consumers' inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Surveys of Consumers conducted by … inflation. Equivalent results are found during recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024228
To better understand inflation expectations, we examine newly available data on U.S. households' inflation perceptions …-what people think inflation has been in the past. The overarching summary is that inflation perceptions look similar to inflation … expectations. The central tendencies of the responses for perceived inflation over the past five to ten years are similar to those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016383
Using a new consumer survey dataset, we document a new dimension of heterogeneity in inflation expectations that has … same inflation expectations differently assess whether the level of expected inflation and of nominal interest rates is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048820
find that homeowners revise down their near-term inflation expectations and their optimism about future labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355012
In this paper we analyze whether central bank communication can facilitate the understanding of key economic concepts. Using survey data for consumers and professionals, we calculate how many of them have expectations consistent with the Fisher Equation, the Taylor rule and the Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088086
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any … paribus unitary relationship between inflation and money growth. Simulations of a New Keynesian model suggest that we should … allowance needed for the phase shift in the relationship between monetary growth rates and inflation. While financial innovation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118439
Since Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Barro and Gordon (1983), most studies of the problem of the inflation bias …-quadratic approach to the problem in favor of a projection method approach. We investigate the size of the inflation bias that arises in … a microfounded nonlinear environment with Calvo price setting. The inflation bias is found to lie between 1% and 6% for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118450
Inflation-indexed securities would appear to be the most direct source of information about inflation expectations and … real interest rates" (Bernanke, 2004). In this paper we study the term structure of real interest rates, expected inflation … and inflation risk premia using data on prices of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) over the period 2000 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108740