Showing 1 - 10 of 136
This paper explores the relationship between the health of the financial sector and the rest of the economy. We develop an indicator of financial sector health using a distance-to-default measure based on a Merton-style option pricing model. Our measure spans over three decades and appears to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136451
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any substantial reason for modifying the current mainstream mode of policy analysis, which frequently does not consider monetary aggregates at all. We begin by considering the body of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118439
Which of the strategies for financing constraints in economic models is the most empirically plausible? This paper tests two commonly used models of financing constraints, costly state verification (Townsend, 1979) and moral hazard (Holmström and Tirole, 1997), using a comprehensive data set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118488
I develop empirical models of the U.S. economy that distinguish between the aggregate demand effects of short- and long-term interest rates-one with clear "microfoundations" and one more loosely motivated. These models are estimated using government and private long-term bond yields. Estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096074
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using panel data from the OECD, we document three correlations. First, there is a positive long-run relationship between anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219614
This note explores the potential effects of the widespread adoption of a global stablecoin (GSC) on key aggregate financial sector balance sheets in the United States. To do this, we map out cash flows of GSC transactions among financial sector entities using a stylized set of 't-accounts'. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231947
Inflation was low and stable in the United States during the first two decades of the 21st century and broke out of its stable range in 2021. Experience in the early 21st century differed from that of the second half of the 20th century, when inflation showed persistent movements including the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293228
certificates of deposit (CDs) and Eurodollar deposits, as banks and investors sought ways around various regulations affecting …-term safe assets, especially Treasury bills. Banks appear to have issued these money market instruments as substitutes for other … types of funding. The integration of money markets and ability of banks to raise funds using a greater variety of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210453
Within a decision-making group, such as the monetary-policy committee of a central bank, group members often hold differing views about the future of key economic variables. Such differences of opinion can be thought of as reflecting differing sets of judgement. This paper suggests modelling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053949
reserves by banks. The inferred valuation can be used to interpret shifts in rate curves between bank pairs, for example, in … from Mexico around the 2008 financial crisis. During the crisis, relatively small banks were lending to large banks at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120666