When a policymaker is better informed than the public, public beliefs about the hidden informationemerge as additional state variables, managed by the policymaker. General methodsare presented to compute optimal commitment and discretion policies.Under commitment, policy is additive in two...

Monetary policy is most effective when public beliefs about future policies are activelymanaged. This is the appeal of policy rules and commitment strategies, typically absent underdiscretion. But when a policymaker has some private information — as is the case in reality— belief management...

There is strong empirical evidence that the pricing kernel is Ushaped,which provides a way to explain the substantial coskewnesspremium. Existing studies typically use a polynomial approximationof the pricing kernel. Problematically, these polynomials have, inmost cases, increasing parts by...

Many statistical applications require an estimate of a covariance matrix and/or its inverse.When the matrix dimension is large compared to the sample size, which happensfrequently, the sample covariance matrix is known to perform poorly and may suffer fromill-conditioning. There already exists...

This paper examines the impact of agency conicts on corporate nancing decisions. Werst build a dynamic contingent claims model in which nancing policy results from a trade-obetween tax benets, contracting frictions, and agency conicts. In our setting, partially-entrenched managers set the rms'...