Clark, Todd; Huber, Florian; Koop, Gary; Marcellino, … - 2022
The relationship between inflation and predictors such as unemployment is potentially nonlinear with a strength that … develop a model for inflation forecasting that is nonparametric both in the conditional mean and in the error using Gaussian … of inflation. In a forecasting exercise involving CPI inflation, we find that our approach has substantial benefits, both …