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We estimate the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS)—the response of expected consumption growth to changes …). This unique data set allows us to estimate the consumption Euler equation with no auxiliary assumptions on the properties … with the results of much of the literature. In addition, planned consumption displays excess sensitivity to expected income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856136
We discuss the evolution in macroeconomic thought on the monetary policy transmission mechanism and present related empirical evidence. The core channels of policy transmission -- the neoclassical links between short-term policy interest rates, other asset prices such as long-term interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002661
This paper focuses on simple normative rules for monetary policy that central banks can use to guide their interest rate decisions. Such rules were first derived from research on empirical monetary models with rational expectations and sticky prices built in the 1970s and 1980s. During the past...
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This paper applies a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects of monetary policy in the presence of a low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under a standard inflation-targeting approach, inflation expectations will be anchored at a level below the inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867264
This paper uses a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects and implementation of various monetary policy frameworks in the presence of a low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under a standard inflation-targeting approach, inflation expectations will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871223
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Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828049