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We estimate the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS)—the response of expected consumption growth to changes …). This unique data set allows us to estimate the consumption Euler equation with no auxiliary assumptions on the properties … with the results of much of the literature. In addition, planned consumption displays excess sensitivity to expected income …
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With short-term interest rates at the zero lower bound, forward guidance has become a key tool for central bankers, and yet we know little about its effectiveness. Standard medium-scale DSGE models tend to grossly overestimate the impact of forward guidance on the macroeconomy — a phenomenon...
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The goal of this paper is to present the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model developed and used at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The paper describes how the model works, how it is estimated, how it rationalizes past history, including the Great Recession, and how it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074011
This paper applies a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects of monetary policy in the presence of a low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under a standard inflation-targeting approach, inflation expectations will be anchored at a level below the inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867264
This paper uses a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects and implementation of various monetary policy frameworks in the presence of a low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under a standard inflation-targeting approach, inflation expectations will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871223
This paper analyzes the effects of the lower bound for interest rates on the distributions of inflation and interest rates. We study a stylized New Keynesian model where the policy instrument is subject to a lower bound to motivate the empirical analysis. Two equilibria emerge: In the “target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851471