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In this paper we present a methodology of model-based calibration of additional capital needed in an interconnected financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to controlling contagion in case of complete information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519357
We identify and track over time the factors that make the financial system vulnerable to fire sales by constructing an index of aggregate vulnerability. The index starts increasing quickly in 2004, before most other major systemic risk measures, and triples by 2008. The fire-sale-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905172
We present a tractable framework to assess the systemic implications of bail-in. To this end, we construct a multi-layered network model where each layer represents the securities cross holdings of a specific seniority among the largest euro area banking groups. On this basis, the bail-in of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636947
Euro area governments have committed to break the doom loop between banks and sovereigns. But policymakers disagree on how to treat sovereign exposures in bank regulation. Our contribution is to model endogenous sovereign portfolio reallocation by banks in response to regulatory reform....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061145
This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity index options. It displays results from a prototype version, computed daily from January 2006 to January 2013. The indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084190
We analyse the effects of supranational versus national banking supervision on credit supply, and its interactions with … institutional change leading to the centralisation of European banking supervision; (iii) high-frequency monetary policy surprises … supervision reduces credit supply to firms with very high ex-ante and ex-post credit risk, while stimulating credit supply to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137670
Recent research developed under the ECB research task force on Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability highlights the existence of trade-offs and spillovers that monetary policy and macroprudential authorities face when deciding on their policy interventions, Monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822172
The Global Financial Crisis fostered the design and adoption of macroprudential policies throughout the world. This raises important questions for monetary policy. What, if any, is the relationship between monetary and macroprudential policies? In particular, how does the effectiveness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431776
While regulatory capital buffers are expected to be drawn to absorb losses and meet credit demand during crises, this paper shows that banks were unwilling to do so during the pandemic. To the contrary, banks engaged in forms of pro-cyclical behaviour to preserve capital ratios. By employing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818793
This paper investigates the impact of the capital relief package adopted to support euro area banks at the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. By leveraging confidential supervisory and credit register data, we uncover two main findings. First, capital relief measures support banks' capacity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367568