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The U.S. dollar plays a key role in international trade invoicing along two complementary dimensions. First, most U.S. exports and imports are invoiced in dollars; second, trade flows that do not involve the United States are often invoiced in dollars, a fact that has received relatively little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725210
International financial linkages, particularly through global bank flows, generate important questions about the consequences for economic and financial stability, including the ability of countries to conduct autonomous monetary policy. I address the monetary autonomy issue in the context of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075025
The trend in the world real interest rate for safe and liquid assets fluctuated close to 2 percent for more than a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911234
We propose measures of financial market stress for forty-six countries and regions across the world. Our measures … wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, hardly anywhere in the world did these March peaks in financial stresses reach those … for the near-term economic outlook across most parts of the world, with the exception of China. A structural Bayesian VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242752
shift to protectionist policies through the lens of a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy that … quot;globalization backlashquot; lowers the degree of competition in import-competing sectors, and compare the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732497
The use of different currencies in the invoicing of international trade transactions plays a major role in the international transmission of economic fluctuations. Existing studies argue that an exporter's invoicing choice reflects structural aspects of its industry, such as market share and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154338
This paper estimates the effect of sovereign debt renegotiation on international trade. Sovereign default may be associated with a subsequent decline in international trade either because creditors want to deter default by debtors, or because trade finance dries up after default. To estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731602
This paper analyzes how the formation of expectations constrains monetary and fiscal policy design. Economic agents have imperfect knowledge about the economic environment and the policy regime in place. Households and firms learn about the policy regime using historical data. Regime uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214924
become cheaper in the rest of the world. Real U.S. imports are affected less because U.S. prices are more insulated from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732862
This paper analyzes the potential effect of global market competition on inflation dynamics. It does so through the lens of the Calvo model of staggered price setting, which implies that inflation depends on expected future inflation and a measure of marginal costs. I modify the assumption of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218532