Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This paper examines time-varying measures of term premiums across ten developed economies. It shows that a single factor accounts for most of the variation in expected excess returns over time, across the maturity spectrum, and across countries. I construct a global return forecasting factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124116
We study the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle in a multisector, two-country, sticky-price model. Firms' price stickiness differs across sectors, in accordance with recent microeconomic evidence on price setting in various countries. Combined with local currency pricing, these differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722638
There is extensive evidence that the degree of risksharing accomplished by international financial markets is low. Some have argued that this is the result of small potential benefits from risksharing. The gains from riskpooling that have been reported in the literature range from negligible to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726858
Using two decades of annual data, we explore the links between real exchange rates and employment, wages, and overtime activity in specific U.S. manufacturing industries. Across two-digit industry levels of aggregation, exchange rate movements do not have large effects on numbers of jobs or on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732768
Several recent studies document that the extent to which banks transmit shocks across borders depends on the type of foreign activities these banks engage in. This paper proposes a model to explain the composition of banks' foreign activities, distinguishing between international interbank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050510
We propose measures of financial market stress for forty-six countries and regions across the world. Our measures indicate that worldwide financial market stresses rose significantly in March following the widespread economic shutdowns in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, hardly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242752
We develop a theoretical model of international trade pricing in which individual exporters and importers bargain over the transaction price and exposure to exchange rate fluctuations. We find that the choice of price and invoicing currency reflects the full market structure, including the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035681
Emerging market economies often face sudden stops in capital inflows or reduced access to the international capital market, a development that can cause serious disruptions in economic activity. This paper analyzes what monetary policy can accomplish in such an event. Optimal monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218833
The inertia of the local currency prices of traded goods in the face of exchange rate changes is a well-documented phenomenon in international economics. This paper develops a structural model to identify the sources of this local currency price stability and applies it to micro data from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225234
This paper suggests that normal speculative activity could be a source of random-walk exchange rate behavior. Using a noise trader model to analyze very short-term exchange rate behavior, it shows that rational, risk-averse speculators will smooth the impact of shocks to exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049761