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Informational Contagion in the Laboratory
Cipriani, Marco - 2015
correlated fundamentals open sequentially. In both markets, subjects receive private information. Subjects in the market opening … information is only imperfectly aggregated, subjects are able to make correct inferences based on the public information coming … when it is rational to do so because they convey information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017423
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Informational Contagion in the Laboratory
Cipriani, Marco - 2015
correlated fundamentals open sequentially. In both markets, subjects receive private information. Subjects in the market opening … information is only imperfectly aggregated, subjects are able to make correct inferences based on the public information coming … when it is rational to do so because they convey information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026974
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Chinese Exports and U.S. Import Prices
Mandel, Benjamin R. - 2013
This paper develops a technique to decompose price distributions into contributions from markups and marginal cost. The estimators are then used as a laboratory to measure the relationship between increasing Chinese competition and the components of U.S. import prices. The estimates suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088895
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Regression-Based Estimation of Dynamic Asset Pricing Models
Adrian, Tobias - 2014
We propose regression-based estimators for beta representations of dynamic asset pricing models with an affine pricing kernel specification. We allow for state variables that are cross-sectional pricing factors, forecasting variables for the price of risk, and factors that are both. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068063
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Deconstructing the Yield Curve
Crump, Richard K. - 2019
yield curve models that commit to a parsimoniously parameterized factor structure may be omitting important information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889010
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Equity Volatility Term Premia
Van Tassel, Peter - 2020
This paper estimates the term-structure of volatility risk premia for the stock market. Realized variance term premia are increasing in systematic risk and predict variance swap returns. Implied volatility term premia are decreasing in risk initially, but then increase at a lag, predicting VIX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851215
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The Equity Risk Premium : A Review of Models
Duarte, Fernando - 2015
We estimate the equity risk premium (ERP) by combining information from twenty models. The ERP in 2012 and 2013 reached …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017426
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Option-Implied Term Structures
Vogt, Erik - 2014
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039825
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A Bayesian Approach to Inference on Probabilistic Surveys
Del Negro, Marco; Casarin, Roberto; Bassetti, Federico - 2022
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for conducting inference on probabilistic surveys. We use this approach to study whether U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters density projections for output growth and inflation are consistent with the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080529
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Risk-Free Rates and Convenience Yields Around the World
Diamond, William; Van Tassel, Peter - 2022
This paper constructs risk-free interest rates implicit in index option prices for ten of the major G11 currencies. We compare these rates to the yields of government bonds to provide international estimates of the convenience yield earned by safe assets. Average convenience yields across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030002