quantitative effects of (i) aggregate productivity shocks on unemployment and (ii) unemployment benefits on unemployment. This … model, unemployment benefits affect households' behavior directly, without having to run via the bargained wage. A … effect of benefits on unemployment. Our analysis shows the importance of investigating the effects of policies on the …

links both the cyclical fluctuations and the mean level of unemployment to the aggregate business cycle risk. The key result … of the paper is that business cycles are costly for all consumers, regardless of their wealth, yet that unemployment … fluctuations themselves are not the source of these costs. Rather fluctuations over the cycle induce higher average unemployment …

cycle dynamics of separation and job finding rates and to quantify their contributions to overall unemployment variability …. Cyclical changes in the separation rate lead those of unemployment, while the job finding rate and unemployment move … contemporaneously. Fluctuations in the separation rate explain between 40 and 50 percent of fluctuations in unemployment, depending on …

policy-oriented studies have dealt with the evolution of unemployment in 2020, often country by country, this article focuses … on the evolution of unemployment as well as inactivity across European countries. Indeed, previous crises have typically … lead not only to more unemployment but also to larger numbers of discouraged unemployed and thus more inactivity. It …

historically focussed on reducing unemployment (the tip of the iceberg), the group of inactive people (below the waterline) is much … larger. Therefore, we point to the clear limitations of the unemployment rate as the (single) key macro-economic indicator of … the health of the labour market. A parsimonious dashboard approach utilising the unemployment-to-population ratio and the …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country fixed effects are added to panel … estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries - Austria; Belgium … predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months in advance based on individuals' fears of unemployment, their perceptions …

-19 pandemic, overall labour market conditions were relatively stable, with mismatched unemployment returning to pre …

participation rate and employment-population ratio but had little discernible effect on the unemployment rate. Factors robustly …

joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show conditions for constrained efficiency and discuss important implications of …