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Review of "This time is different : eight centuries of financial folly by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff"
Kose, M. Ayhan - 2011
This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly is one of the best, if not the best, books ever written on the history of financial crises. It presents a comprehensive survey of financial crises utilizing an extraordinary database of macroeconomic and financial series. The massive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008900898
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The coming US interest rate tightening cycle : smooth sailing or stormy waters?
Arteta, Carlos Ó.; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2015
report three major findings: First, since the tightening cycle will take place in the context of a robust U.S. economy, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389408
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Emerging and developing economies : ten years after the global recession
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2020
, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175348
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Global recessions
Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 … internationally, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230745
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Can this time be different? : policy options in times of rising debt
Kose, M. Ayhan; Nagle, Peter; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2020
Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. Since 2010 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230790
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Debt and financial crises
Koh, Wee Chian; Kose, M. Ayhan; Nagle, Peter; Ohnsorge, … - 2020 - This version: January 2020
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159605
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Global recessions
Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 …, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159612
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Debt and financial crises
Koh, Wee Chian; Kose, M. Ayhan; Nagle, Peter; Ohnsorge, … - 2020
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228314
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Emerging and developing economies : ten years after the Global Recession
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2020
, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229095
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020 - This version: February 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170616