Showing 1 - 10 of 62
This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640
This paper asks if bonanzas (i.e. surges) in net capital flows are associated with a higher likelihood of banking crises and whether this association is necessarily through a lending boom mechanism. Using a new database covering over one hundred countries during 1973-2008, the paper shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287781
It is argued that crises open up a window of opportunity to implement policies that otherwise would not have the necessary political backing. The argument goes that the political cost of deep reforms declines as crises unravel structural problems that need to be urgently rectified and the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739635
Europe is still suffering from the turmoil created by the Great Financial Crisis. Finding solutions to the danger of new financial crises is an important criterion for a stable European Union. Proponents of the Sovereign Money System (SMS) identify the ability of private banks to create money as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812478
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388929
Although emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) weathered the global recession a decade ago relatively well, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the room for monetary and fiscal policies to respond to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388933
Episodes of debt accumulation have been a recurrent feature of the global economy over the past fifty years. Since 2010, emerging and developing economies have experienced another wave of historically large and rapid debt accumulation. Similar past debt buildups have often ended in widespread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388936
Economists drew a number of lessons from the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98 for preventing such episodes or mitigating their effects. Some of those are similar to lessons drawn from the global financial crisis of 2007–09. But differences in economic development and sophistication of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862169
The euro area faces its first sovereign debt crisis, highlighting the fiscal imbalances of member countries. Troubled countries are implementing austerity measures, with adjustments focusing on the short and medium run. However, a long-run solution to Europe's problems requires economic reforms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862170
Forecasting is a daunting challenge for business economists and policymakers, often made more difficult by pervasive … to increase inflation pressures. Perhaps nothing so complicates business planning and forecasting as policymakers who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366918