Showing 1 - 10 of 94
For the first time, non-parametric statistical tests, originally developed by Sherry (1992) to test the efficiency of information processing in nervous systems, are used to ascertain if the Asian FX rates followed random walks. The stationarity and serial independence of the price changes are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413228
Prices of currency options commonly differ from the Black-Scholes formula along two dimensions: implied volatilities vary by strike price (volatility smiles) and maturity (implied volatility of at­the­money options increases, on average, with maturity). We account for both using Gram­Charlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134642
We document a surprising pattern in market prices of S&P 500 index options. When implied volatilities are graphed against a standard measure of moneyness, the implied volatility smirk does not flatten out as maturity increases up to the observable horizon of two years. This behavior contrasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134742
The efficiency of speculative markets, as represented by Fama's 1970 fair game model, is tested on weekly price index data of six Asian stock markets - Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand - using Sherry's (1992) non-parametric methods. These scientific testing methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076962
This paper demonstrates the impact of the observed financial market persistence or long term memory on European option valuation by simple simulation. Many empirical researchers have observed the non-Fickian degrees of persistence or long memory in the financial markets different from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134830
In this paper we show the degrees of persistence of the time series if eight European stock market indices are measured, after their lack of ergodicity and stationarity has been established. The proper identification of the nature of the persistence of financial time series forms a crucial step...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413038
This paper graphically demonstrates the significant impact of the observed financial market persistence, i.e., long term memory or dependence, on European option valuation. Many empirical researchers have observed non-Fickian degrees of persistence or long memory in the financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561723
This paper, which is motivated by the literature on international asset pricing and recent work on exchange rate determination, investigates dynamic relationshiops between major currency and equity markets. Using a multivariate GARCH framework, we examine conditional cross- autocorrelations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413091
This paper examines the mutually reinforcing interactions between exchange rate dynamics and technical trading strategies. I first show that technical trading systems have been quite profitable during the floating rate period. This profitability stems from the successful exploitation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561584
FX pricing processes are nonstationary and their frequency characteristics are time-dependent. Most do not conform to geometric Brownian motion, since they exhibit a scaling law with a Hurst exponent between zero and 0.5 and fractal dimensions between 1.5 and 2. This paper uses wavelet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561603