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We develop the Probability Scaling Method, which rescales short-window announcement period returns; and the Intervention Method, which uses returns associated with intervening events, to estimate value improvements from tender offers. These methods address biases in conventional techniques,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413073
This paper decomposes the overall market beta of common stocks into four parts reflecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of stock- specific and market-wide cash flows and discount rates. We employ a discrete time version of Merton�s Intertemporal CAPM to test whether these four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076992
If co-existing parallel markets are efficient, then arbitrage will maintain a correct pricing relationship. A related question is whether two parallel emerging markets offering more or less the same securities but using different institutional designs, can behave as a single, fully integrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077009
Long-run regression models using the trailing earnings over price ratio to predict future returns suggested by Campbell and Shiller (1988, 2001) work quite well. However, in this note we show that this variable might result in a downward biased proxy for expected future returns. Instead we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134659
The business media play an active role in influencing stock prices. Statistically significant excess returns at the time of the publication of stock recommendations have been documented many times. Frequently these abnormal gains begin to accumulate long before the publication date. In most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134740
A widely held belief in financial economics suggests that stock prices always adequately reflect all available information. Price movements away from fundamentals are assumed to occur only infrequently, if at all. „False“ prices are supposed to be corrected by the counter-actions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134753
The paper analyses the impact of the suspension of opening and closing call auctions by the National Stock Exchange of India in 1999. We compare volatility, efficiency and liquidity (VEL) of securities before and after suspension, and estimate the value of the auctions using an event study....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134759
El presente trabajo pretende determinar si es posible desarrollar una estrategia de inversión exitosa en el mercado bursátil usando factores de riesgo no sistemático, tales como aquellos postulados por el análisis fundamental y el técnico. El trabajo se circunscribe así en el área de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134781
Este trabajo pretende, utilizando una versión modificada del modelo de crecimiento continuo de Higgins para la valuación de activos de capital, obtener evidencia en cuanto a la relevancia de la información contable en la valuación del valor de mercado del patrimonio en la industria de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134899
The heterogeneity of expectations among traders introduces an important non-linearity into the financial markets. In a series of papers, Brock and Hommes, propose to model economic and financial markets as adaptive belief systems. Asset price fluctuations in adaptive belief systems are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134922