We develop and apply a set of hypothesis tests with which to study changes in the angular distribution of points in delay space. Crack and Ledoit (1996) plotted daily stock returns against themselves with one day's lag. The graph shows these points collected along several rays from the origin....

This paper develops a new computational approach for general multi- factor Markovian interest rate models. The early exercise premium is derived for general American options. The option cash flows are decomposed into fast and slowly varying components. The fast components are option independent...

This paper analyzes the impact of news, oil prices, and international financial market developments on daily returns on Russian bond and stock markets. First, there is some persistence in both bond and stock market returns. Second, we find that U.S. stock market returns Granger-cause Russian...

This paper analyzes the impact of news, oil prices, and international financial market developments on daily returns on Russian bond and stock markets. First, regarding returns, energy news affects returns, while news from the war in Chechnya is not significant. Market volatility does not appear...

The popular press attaches particular significance to certain numerical values of the Dow-Jones index. These magic numbers are referred to as `resistance levels' or `psychological barriers.' We examine 38 years of closing values of this index to see if it is of any help in predicting future...

In the context of arbitrage-free modelling of financial derivatives, we introduce a novel calibration technique for models in the affine- quadratic class for the purpose of contingent claims pricing and risk- management. In particular, we aim at calibrating a stochastic volatility jump diffusion...

Leveraging the explicit formula for European swaptions and coupon-bond options in HJM one-factor model, we develop a semi-explicit formula for 2-Bermudan options (also called Canary options). We first extend the European swaption formula to future times. We are able to reduce the valuation of a...

This paper tests empirically the performance of three structural models of corporate bond pricing, namely Merton (1974), Leland (1994) and Fan and Sundaresan (2000). While the first two models overestimate bond prices, the Fan and Sundaresan model reveals an extremely good performance. When...

We present an explicit formula for European options on coupon bearing bonds and swaptions in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) one factor model with non-stochastic volatility. The formula extends the Jamshidian formula for zero-coupon bonds. We provide also an explicit way to compute the hedging...

A lattice-based method is advanced for evaluating functionals of sequences of path-wise values of a lattice's state variable. For the Asian call valuations in this paper, the lattices discretely replicate the stochastic future states of conventionally prescribed, lognormally distributed, equity...