A representative investor in a competitive financial market is uncertain about the true state of the economy. This uncertainty is reflected by a probability distribution of values which the investor forms subjectively based on information that is arriving randomly. The subjective distribution of...

We investigate the effect of financial liberalization on the probability of a banking crises in economies with poor transparency We construct a model with imperfect information where banks cannot distinguish between aggregate shocks on the one hand, and government’s policy and firms’...

This paper decomposes the overall market beta of common stocks into four parts reflecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of stock- specific and market-wide cash flows and discount rates. We employ a discrete time version of Merton�s Intertemporal CAPM to test whether these four...

If co-existing parallel markets are efficient, then arbitrage will maintain a correct pricing relationship. A related question is whether two parallel emerging markets offering more or less the same securities but using different institutional designs, can behave as a single, fully integrated...

Long-run regression models using the trailing earnings over price ratio to predict future returns suggested by Campbell and Shiller (1988, 2001) work quite well. However, in this note we show that this variable might result in a downward biased proxy for expected future returns. Instead we...

The business media play an active role in influencing stock prices. Statistically significant excess returns at the time of the publication of stock recommendations have been documented many times. Frequently these abnormal gains begin to accumulate long before the publication date. In most...

A widely held belief in financial economics suggests that stock prices always adequately reflect all available information. Price movements away from fundamentals are assumed to occur only infrequently, if at all. „False“ prices are supposed to be corrected by the counter-actions of...

The paper analyses the impact of the suspension of opening and closing call auctions by the National Stock Exchange of India in 1999. We compare volatility, efficiency and liquidity (VEL) of securities before and after suspension, and estimate the value of the auctions using an event study....

El presente trabajo pretende determinar si es posible desarrollar una estrategia de inversión exitosa en el mercado bursátil usando factores de riesgo no sistemático, tales como aquellos postulados por el análisis fundamental y el técnico. El trabajo se circunscribe así en el área de...

Este trabajo pretende, utilizando una versión modificada del modelo de crecimiento continuo de Higgins para la valuación de activos de capital, obtener evidencia en cuanto a la relevancia de la información contable en la valuación del valor de mercado del patrimonio en la industria de...