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Macroeconomists have long recognized that activity-gap measures are unreliable in real time and that this can present serious difficulties for stabilization policy. This paper investigates whether the credit-to-GDP ratio gap, which has been proposed as a reference point for accumulating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292960
Shifts in the long-run rate of productivity growth--such as those experienced by the U.S. economy in the 1970s and 1990 … forecasts of long-run productivity growth during the 1970s and 1990s and examine in the context of a dynamic general equilibrium … model the consequences of gradual real-time learning on the responses to shifts in the long-run productivity growth rate. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393797