Showing 1 - 10 of 128
Expenditures Survey, house price and consumption responses are compared across areas differing in local land availability and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095299
In this paper, we examine how learning about disaster risk affects asset pricing in an endowment economy. We extend the literature on rare disasters by allowing for two sources of uncertainty: (1) the lack of historical data results in unknown parameters for the disaster process, and (2) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728883
The private market for student loans has become an important source of college financing in the United States. Unlike government student loans, the terms on student loans in the private market are based on credit status. We quantify the importance of the private market for student loans and of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892304
Recent fiscal policies have aimed to stimulate household spending. In 2008, most households received one-time economic stimulus payments. In 2009, most working households received the Making Work Pay tax credit in the form of reduced withholding; other households, mainly retirees, received...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498966
Because policymakers may consider the state of the economy when setting taxes, endogeneity bias can arise in regression models that estimate relationships between economic variables and taxes. This paper quantifies the policy endogeneity bias and estimates the impact of R&D tax incentives on R&D...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095295
The presence of the lagged shadow policy rate in the interest rate feedback rule reduces the government spending multiplier nontrivially when the policy rate is constrained at the zero lower bound (ZLB). In the economy with policy inertia, increased inflation and output due to higher government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393708
This paper provides an introduction to the practice of forecasting "exogenous" components of federal government taxes and spending-policy actions, for short--in the United States. First, we estimate simple models of defense expenditures that are useful for constructing current-quarter forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394215
optimal saving response depends on the openness of our economy, on how we view the consumption of children, and on the … open economy and world interest rates were fixed at their current level, the desire to smooth consumption as our population … influence consumption if they affect the capital-labor ratio or the relative weight that society places on the consumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512979
large declines in consumption, investment, and output when the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds, but has modest effects when the … about tax rates on consumption, wages, capital income, and investment. In my model, uncertainty about government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784154