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In electronic, liquid markets, traders frequently change their positions. The distribution of these trader position changes carries important information about liquidity demand in the market. From this distribution of trader position-changes, we construct a marketwide measure for intraday...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803199
We derive an option-pricing formula from recursive preference and estimate rare disaster probability. The new options …-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the stock market when disaster risk dominates, the size distribution of … options data on the S&P 500 index from 1983-2018 and for analogous indices for other countries. The disaster probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182396
We study the effects of stock market volatility on risk-taking and financial crises by constructing a cross-country database spanning up to 211 years and 60 countries. Prolonged periods of low volatility have strong in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power over the incidence of banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578981
While a rapidly growing body of research underscores the influence of social capital on financial decisions and economic developments, objective data-based measurements of social capital are lacking. We introduce average credit scores as an indicator of a community's social capital and present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708125