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This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the...
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We investigate the impact of a large economic shock on mortality. We find that counties more exposed to a plausibly exogenous trade liberalization exhibit higher rates of suicide and related causes of death, concentrated among whites, especially white males. These trends are consistent with our...
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This paper examines the effect of a change in U.S. trade policy on the domestic investment of U.S. manufacturers. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we find that industries more exposed to reductions in import tariff uncertainty exhibit relative declines in investment...
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the Bank of Canada, the The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and the survey collected by … Canada dramatically improves its predictive accuracy, mainly because of the absence of timely production data for Canada …. Moreover, Statistics Canada produces a monthly real GDP measure along with the quarterly one, and we show how to modify the …
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