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This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011500378
We investigate the impact of a large economic shock on mortality. We find that counties more exposed to a plausibly exogenous trade liberalization exhibit higher rates of suicide and related causes of death, concentrated among whites, especially white males. These trends are consistent with our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578982
This paper examines the effect of a change in U.S. trade policy on the domestic investment of U.S. manufacturers. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we find that industries more exposed to reductions in import tariff uncertainty exhibit relative declines in investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803703
the Bank of Canada, the The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and the survey collected by … Canada dramatically improves its predictive accuracy, mainly because of the absence of timely production data for Canada …. Moreover, Statistics Canada produces a monthly real GDP measure along with the quarterly one, and we show how to modify the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011500346
"This paper measures the effects of the risks associated with the war in Iraq on various U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in what we call the "war risk" factor caused declines in Treasury yields and equity prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001759421
The 1960s and 1970s witnessed rapid growth in the markets for new money market instruments, such as negotiable certificates of deposit (CDs) and Eurodollar deposits, as banks and investors sought ways around various regulations affecting funding markets. In this paper, we investigate the impacts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578733
We examine the role of U.S. monetary policy in global financial stability by using a cross-country database spanning the period from 1870-2010 across 69 countries. U.S. monetary policy tightening increases the probability of banking crises for those countries with direct linkages to the U.S.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181191
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