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are I(1). We show that Ft is driven by r-c permanent shocks, where c is the cointegration rank of Ft, and q - (r - c) < c … of a Vector Error Correction Mechanism with c error terms. This result is the basis for consistent estimation of Non …-Stationary Dynamic Factor Models. The relationship between cointegration of the factors and cointegration of the observable variables is …
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trend. The estimation of the model preferred by the data indicates that, because of negative shocks to trend output during …
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This paper develops a method for decomposing GDP into trend and cycle exploiting the cross-sectional variation of state-level real GDP and unemployment rate data. The model assumes that there are common output and unemployment rate trend and cycle components, and that each state's output and...
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