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The Fed's asymmetric forecast errors
Chang, Andrew C. - 2018
I show that the probability that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System staff's forecasts (the "Greenbooks'") overpredicted quarterly real gross domestic product (GDP) growth depends on both the forecast horizon and also whether the forecasted quarter was above or below trend real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927163
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Getting bad news out early : does it really help stock prices
Downing, Chris; Sharpe, Steven A. - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001840147
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Alternative methods of unit nonresponse weighting adjustments : an application from the 2003 survey of small business finances
Hazelwood, Lieu N.; Mach, Traci L.; Wolken, John D. - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826918
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Measurement error in macroeconomic data and economics research : data revisions, gross domestic product, and gross domestic income
Chang, Andrew C.; Li, Phillip - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410289
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Errors in the measurement of the output gap and the design of monetary policy
Orphanides, Athanasios (contributor) - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001413338
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Can measurement error explain slow productivity growth in construction?
García, Daniel; Molloy, Raven S. - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014385045
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Earnings forecasts and the predictability of stock returns : evidence from trading the S & P
Lander, Joel - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000956693
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Term structure estimation with survey data on interest rate forecasts
Kim, Don H.; Orphanides, Athanasios - 2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003159187
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Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?
Ang, Andrew; Bekaert, Geert; Wei, Min - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003321394
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A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model
Edge, Rochelle M.; Kiley, Michael T.; Laforte, Jean-Philippe - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832682