that the oil price passes through core inflation only via its effect on the whole economy. This pass-through is estimated …

financial shock, firms in financially weak countries (the periphery) maintain{{p}}cashflows by raising markups--in both domestic … and export markets--while firms in financially strong countries (the core) reduce markups, undercutting their financially …

relationship between inflation and unemployment is nonlinear. Using aggregate data we are unable to reject a linear relationship … low compared to when it is high. Nevertheless the simple nonlinear Phillips curves used here suggest a core CPI inflation …

The diminished sensitivity of inflation to changes in resource utilization that has been observed in many advanced … examine this "globalization" hypothesis using both aggregate U.S. data on measures of inflation and economic slack and a rich … the overall decline in responsiveness of aggregate inflation to fluctuations in economic activity. This flattening of the …

Building on the results in Nalewaik (FEDS 2015-93), this work models wage growth and core PCE price inflation as regime … price inflation that becomes much larger after labor markets tighten beyond a certain point. The results are informative for … assessing the likelihood and risks of meeting certain inflation targets on a sustained basis …

patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the 'normal regime', oil price … shocks are followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the … same direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a …

inflation are now less well informed by macroeconomic conditions; because expectations are important in the setting of current …-period prices, inflation is therefore less sensitive to macroeconomic conditions. To distinguish between our two hypotheses, we … bring to bear information on inflation expectations from surveys, which allow us to distinguish changes in the sensitivity …