inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …

Building on the results in Nalewaik (FEDS 2015-93), this work models wage growth and core PCE price inflation as regime … price inflation that becomes much larger after labor markets tighten beyond a certain point. The results are informative for … assessing the likelihood and risks of meeting certain inflation targets on a sustained basis …

patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the 'normal regime', oil price … shocks are followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the … same direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a …

dispersion reduces welfare by creating mismatch between posted prices and money balances. Inflation exacerbates this welfare loss …

choose a path for the inflation rate that ends with a non-zero value. Such a property is relevant in a wide range of … youth structure. In this setting, profit flows are discounted more heavily than utility flows and the optimal inflation … long-run inflation rate in models with firm entry and exit and in environments with search and matching frictions in the …

from an inflation targeting to a price-level targeting strategy at the onset of a recession does not yield the desired …

of the responsiveness of price inflation to that slack. Using stochastic simulations of a small-scale version of the … setting the policy rate, and substitute toward a more forceful response to inflation, is overstated. We find that a notable … response to the unemployment gap is typically beneficial, even if that gap is mismeasured. Even when the dynamics of inflation …

the Global Financial Crisis are modestly effective in speeding up the labor market recovery and return of inflation to 2 …