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Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation

Eckert, Florian; Hyndman, Rob J.; Panagiotelis, Anastasios - 2019

This paper conducts an extensive forecasting study on 13,118 time series measuring Swiss goods exports, grouped …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058388

Recessions as breadwinner for forecasters state-dependent evaluation of predictive ability : evidence from big macroeconomic US data

Siliverstovs, Boriss; Wochner, Daniel - 2019

forecasting experiment is based on a novel big macroeconomic dataset (FRED-QD) comprising over 200 quarterly indicators for almost …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117679

Financialisation and the financial and economic crises: Theoretical framework and empirical analysis for 15 countries

Dodig, Nina; Hein, Eckhard; Detzer, Daniel - 2015

This paper analyses the long-run effects of financialisation and of the recent financial and economic crises for 15 countries. In order to provide a theoretical framework, we first outline three types of regimes under the conditions of financialisation, namely a debtled private demand boom, an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310221

Financialisation and financial crisis in Iceland

Guðmundsson, Björn Rúnar - 2015

Financialisation in Iceland should be seen as an evolving process driven by a mixture of global and domestic forces. Responding to fundamental issues underlying macroeconomic imbalances, the authorities introduced policies that proved particularly supportive of financial expansion at a time when...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310222

Financial, economic and social systems: French Regulation School, Social Structures of Accumulation and Post-Keynesian approaches compared

Hein, Eckhard; Dodig, Nina; Budyldina, Natalia - 2014

This paper surveys some of the important literatures on financial, economic and social systems with an eye towards explaining the tendencies towards 'financialisation'. We focus on important strands of this literature: the French Regulation School, the US-based Social Structures of Accumulation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332603

Financialisation, distribution, growth and crises: Long-run tendencies

Hein, Eckhard; Dodig, Nina - 2014

In this paper we review the empirical and theoretical literature on the effects of changes in the relationship between the financial sector and the non-financial sectors of the economy associated with 'financialisation' on distribution, growth, instability and crises. We take a macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332606

Financialisation and work: New transdisciplinary insights from micro-level survey data

Betzelt, Sigrid; Santos, Ana C.; Lopes, Cláudia A. - 2016

The paper examines the interdependencies of financialisation and working conditions by exploring the comparative findings of a micro-level survey on household income, household debt, and working conditions which was conducted in five European countries representing different institutional and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572680

Financialisation, distribution & the macroeconomic regimes before & after the crisis: A post-Keynesian view on Denmark, Estonia & Latvia

Dünhaupt, Petra; Hein, Eckhard - 2018

Since the early 1980s, financialisation has become an increasingly important trend in developed capitalist countries, with different beginnings, speed and intensities in different countries. Rising inequality has been a major feature of this trend. Shares of wages in national income have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847074

Causes and consequences of the financial crisis and the implications for a more resilient financial and economic system

Hein, Eckhard - 2016

The increasing dominance of finance starting in the late 1970s/early 1980s in the US and the UK, and somewhat later in other countries, was associated with two fundamental and structural processes generating the contradictions of this phase of development and finally the financial and economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431825

Simulation-based valuation of project finance: does model complexity really matter?

Weber, Florian; Schmid, Thomas; Pietz, Matthäus; … - 2010

forecasting techniques, e.g. correlation forecasts based on historical values and on a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model … varied. We find that the applied volatility forecasting models have a strong influence on the expected net present value … distribution and on the probability of default. In contrast, correlation forecasting models play a minor role. Time resolution and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305715