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A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
We introduce a novel approach to multifractal data in order to achieve transcended modeling and forecasting performances by extracting time series out of local Hurst exponent calculations at a specified scale. First, the long range and co-movement dependencies of the time series are scrutinized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266929