We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1983-2019. We first derive a novel oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stocks and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash flow...

We introduce a new approach to measuring riskiness in the equity market. We propose option implied and physical measures of riskiness and investigate their performance in predicting future market returns. The predictive regressions indicate a positive and significant relation between...