Key to deriving the lower bound to the expected excess return of the market in Martin (2017) is the assumption of the negative correlation condition (NCC). We improve on the lower bound characterization by proposing an exact formula for the conditional expected excess return of the market. In...

The VIX futures curve is most often in contango but displays backwardation during unfavorable market conditions. We construct an explanation based on the notion of stochastic orders of volatility uncertainty – meaning that investors view short-dated volatility uncertainty as being less likely...

We develop a way of ranking and scoring actively managed funds and investment strategies. Our performance measure accounts for the feature that investors may exhibit caution, via the mechanism of ambiguity aversion, when evaluating investment strategies. Linking developed theory to data, we...