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In this paper we present and discuss the results of an expert elicitation survey on solar technologies. Sixteen leading European experts from the academic world, the private sector and international institutions took part in this expert elicitation survey on Photovoltaic (PV) and Concentrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486591
Optimal R&D investment is defined by deep uncertainty that can only partially be addressed through historical data. Thus, expert judgments expressed as subjective probability distributions are seen as an alternative way of assessing the potential of new technologies. In this paper we propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487087
This paper focuses on technologies which use thermo-chemical or biochemical processes to convert biomass into electricity. We present the results from an expert elicitation exercise involving sixteen leading experts coming from different EU Member States. Aim of the elicitation was to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714384
available low carbon mitigation options, can promote innovation in new technologies and eventually generate welfare gains. We … due to both climate and innovation market failures. Our results show that phasing out nuclear power stimulates additional … R&D investments and deployment of infant technologies with large learning potential. The innovation benefits which this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687340
The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce...
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Many predictions and conclusions in climate change literature have been made on the basis of theoretical analyses and quantitative models that assume exogenous technological change. One may wonder if those policy prescriptions hold in the more realistic case of endogenously evolving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589830
Technological development is likely to play an important role in curbing growth in greenhouse gas emissions. It is therefore important to incorporate factors influencing technological change in climate policy analyses. This paper studies climate policy when there are technology spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591207