quantitative effects of (i) aggregate productivity shocks on unemployment and (ii) unemployment benefits on unemployment. This … model, unemployment benefits affect households' behavior directly, without having to run via the bargained wage. A … effect of benefits on unemployment. Our analysis shows the importance of investigating the effects of policies on the …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country fixed effects are added to panel … estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries - Austria; Belgium … predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months in advance based on individuals' fears of unemployment, their perceptions …

historically focussed on reducing unemployment (the tip of the iceberg), the group of inactive people (below the waterline) is much … larger. Therefore, we point to the clear limitations of the unemployment rate as the (single) key macro-economic indicator of … the health of the labour market. A parsimonious dashboard approach utilising the unemployment-to-population ratio and the …

policy-oriented studies have dealt with the evolution of unemployment in 2020, often country by country, this article focuses … on the evolution of unemployment as well as inactivity across European countries. Indeed, previous crises have typically … lead not only to more unemployment but also to larger numbers of discouraged unemployed and thus more inactivity. It …

Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U …-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We … use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state …

-2007. Moreover, the results suggested that unemployment bore an association with occupational access constraints and wage sorting in …

EWE is a consequence of one of the most important labor institutions: the unemployment benefit (UB). We develop a model …

joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show conditions for constrained efficiency and discuss important implications of …

participation rate and employment-population ratio but had little discernible effect on the unemployment rate. Factors robustly …