This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing...

The book provides a simple, intuitive introduction to regression models for qualitative and discrete dependent variables, to sample selection models, and to event history models, all in the context of maximum likelihood estimation. It presents a wide range of commonly used models. The book...

Traditional econometric analysis concentrate on classical methods which are far from suitable handling actual economic problems. Modern econometric analysis tries to develop approaches from an economic perspective. This book presents survey articles of the most important methods in econometrics....

In spite of the widespread use of the concept of potential output in economic theory and empirical applications as well as in economic policy debates, the historical background and the assumptions inherent to this concept are rarely made transparent, let alone critically questioned. Against this...

In diesem Buch wird die langfristige historische Entwicklung deutscher längstlaufender Staatsanleihen im Zeitraum 1870 bis 1959 untersucht. Durch Verknüpfung der ermittelten Performance mit der bereits existierenden Zeitreihe gleicher Konzeption sowie der anschließenden Fortentwicklung bis...

The book provides graduate students and researchers with an up-to-date survey of statistical and econometric techniques for the analysis of count data, with a focus on conditional distribution models. Proper count data probability models allow for rich inferences, both with respect to the...