This paper develops a framework for analyzing the outcome of experiments carried out on forward-looking subjects. Natural experiments, unexpected policy changes, and true experiments are all included in the framework as special cases. These concepts are defined in conjunction with explicit...

It seems trivial to point out that one of the major goals of the International Institute of Forecasters is to communicate research findings. In particular, the IIF tries to foster communication among researchers, between researchers and practitioners, across nationalities, and across...

Knowledge is the key to gaining and sustaining competitive advantage. Driven by a change in consumer needs towards “comprehensive service solutions”, more and more services are offered through networks. By so doing, individual firms can concentrate on their distinctive competencies and by...

When we first began publication of the Journal of Forecasting, we reviewed policies that were used by other journals and also examined the research on scientific publishing. Our findings were translated into a referee's rating form that was published in the journal [Armstrong (1982a)]. These...

The consumer has been on a tightrope since the bursting of the "new economy" bubble, as losses in equity markets have been partly offset by gains in real estate and fiscal support and mortgage refinancing have partly offset increased consumer cautiousness. The consumer will remain on a tightrope...

Cet essai traite de ce qu’on appelle habituellement les PME ( Petites et Moyennes entreprises, incluant donc les TPE, très petites entreprises). Mais il pose en préambule la question de la pertinence, d’un point de vue économique, de cette catégorie statistique, définie, par exemple,...

Wealth is defined as one that has 'Value in Exchange' and 'Value in use'. Accountants, in financial statements show items like goodwill, loss and depreciation that may/maynot have 'Value in exchange'. Who is right? Mathematics has an answer. Can we add 2a and 3a? Yes. Can we subtract 2a from 7a?...

In recent years, most of the countries across the globe are in a sweeping mood to promote micro finance institutions not only as a positive rural development intervention but also as a rural development panacea. Allured by the success of micro credit institutions in developed countries, the...

In recent years, most of the countries across the globe are in a sweeping mood to promote micro finance institutions not only as a positive rural development intervention but also as a rural development panacea. Allured by the success of micro credit institutions in developed countries, the...

Drawing upon the work of the NISPAcee Working Group on Preventing Corruption in Public Administration, this book reviews the current state of anti-corruption training and education in Central and Eastern Europe. Original data and analysis from anti-corruption trainers and policymakers from over...