Similar Search Results

China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741

Oil Prices and the Global Economy : Is it Different this Time Around?

Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2017

The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968623

Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Chudik, Alexander - 2017

This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971219

Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy : A Counterfactual Analysis

Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2017

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oilsupply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971221

Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change : A Cross-Country Analysis

Kahn, Matthew E. - 2020

, reduces world real GDP per capita by 7.22 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847206

Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942

Beyond the DSGE Straitjacket

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

Academic macroeconomics and the research department of central banks have come to be dominated by Dynamic, Stochastic, General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based on micro-foundations of optimising representative agents with rational expectations. We argue that the dominance of this particular sort...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126144

An Exponential Class of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects

Al-Sadoon, Majid - 2012

This paper develops a model for dynamic binary choice panel data that allows for unobserved heterogeneity to be arbitrarily correlated with covariates. The model is of the exponential type. We derive moment conditions that enable us to eliminate the unobserved heterogeneity term and at the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096447

An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012

-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701

Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012

This paper considers testing the hypothesis that errors in a panel data model are weakly cross sectionally dependent, using the exponent of cross-sectional dependence α, introduced recently in Bailey, Kapetanios and Pesaran (2012). It is shown that the implicit null of the CD test depends on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108232