Showing 1 - 8 of 8
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968623
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971219
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oilsupply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971221
We estimate the effects of quantitative easing (QE) measures by the ECB and the Federal Reserve on the US dollar-euro exchange rate at frequencies and horizons relevant for policymakers. To do so, we derive a theoretically-consistent local projection regression equation from the standard asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850831
Different export-pricing currency paradigms have different implications for a host of issues that are critical for policymakers such as business cycle co-movement, optimal monetary policy, optimum currency areas and international monetary policy coordination. Unfortunately, the literature has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847070
, reduces world real GDP per capita by 7.22 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847206
We assess the empirical validity of the trilemma (or impossible trinity) in the 2000s for a large sample of advanced and emerging market economies. To do so, we estimate Taylor-rule type monetary policy reaction functions, relating the local policy rate to real-time forecasts of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848980
' integration with the rest of the world. First, accuracy worsens as direct bilateral transmission channels become less important … with the rest of the world. Second, accuracy worsens as indirect higher-order spillovers and spillbacks become more … important, for example when the spillover-recipient is more integrated with the rest of the world overall. Empirical evidence on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970182