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increase in the fiscal consolidation scenario in Japan recommended by Hansen and Imrohoroglu (2016). However, being secretive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952579
We investigate open economy dimensions of optimal monetary and fiscal policy at the zero lower bound (ZLB) in a small open economy model. At positive interest rates, the trade elasticity has negligible effects on optimal policy. In contrast, at the ZLB, the trade elasticity plays a key role in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970178
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971219
The value of the US dollar is of major importance to the world economy. Global liquidity has grown sharply in recent … years with growing importance of China's money supply to global liquidity. We develop out-of-sample forecasts of the US … dollar exchange rate value using US and non-US global data on inflation, output, interest rates, and liquidity on the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970151
The paper contributes to the growing Global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850337
This paper traces the evolution of fiscal institutions of Resource-Rich Arab Economies (RRAEs) over time since their pre-oil days, through the discovery of oil to their build-up of oil exports. It then identifies challenges faced by RRAEs and variations in their severity among the different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851023
interest rates" to fall below zero in all countries, giving rise to a global "liquidity trap." This paper explores the optimal …. ; The key feature of demand shocks in a liquidity trap is that relative prices respond perversely. A negative shock causes … response to conditions generating a global liquidity trap, there is a critical mutual interaction between monetary and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292929
The macroeconomic theories and models favoured by academics, as well as those used more commonly by policymakers, effectively rule out by assumption economic and financial crises of the sort we are living through. In particular, the longer run dangers posed by the rapid expansion of credit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008598684
liquidity trap. Using an optimizing two-country sticky price model, we show that the fiscal multiplier and spillover are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465683
interest rates. Given that the liquidity trap is generated by a large increase in the desire to save on the part of the private … financed by deficits may be far more expansionary than that financed by tax increases in such an environment. In a liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008475891