Since the beginning of 1990s, the credit balance of the banking system in mainland China has experienced a big swing from negative to positive. The balance has continued to expand up to now. It seems that both negative and positive credit balances are so large that the financial resources have...

This paper extends the single-asset target-zone model pioneered by Krugman (1991) to include both bonds and equities. The new model provides a convenient framework for investigating a ‘puzzle' recently noted in Hong Kong. While the economy has experienced persistently lower interest rates...

We offer an explanation of why changes in house prices are predictable. Extending the static model in Leung and Tsang (2010), we analyze the housing market with loss averse sellers and anchoring buyers in a dynamic setting. A buyer's current offer price increases with the housing unit's previous...

This paper analyzes trend and cycle movements of Hong Kong inflation. The empirical model is an unobserved components model that is consistent with the New Keynesian Phillips curve and is estimated using Hong Kong, U.S., and China inflation and output data. The model decomposes Hong Kong...

This paper investigates the interaction between housing prices and housing rentals. Standard economic models treat housing prices as the present discounted value of future rentals with the latter treated as exogenous. Casual observation, however, suggests that changes in rental prices often...

This paper evaluates structural change and adjustment in Hong Kong with Bayesian estimation of a small open economy with a fixed exchange rate show little or no change in the structural parameters or volatility estimates of the structural shocks before and after the Asian crisis and the...

The Hong Kong banking sector is embracing Fintech vigorously. The survey results indicate that on the whole incumbent banks considering Fintech as a complement and enabling technology, which facilitates them to improve efficiency and to meet the demand for under-served customers, out-number...

This paper models the macroeconomic impact from the quot;internationalisationquot; of Hong Kong Dollar under the fixed and floating exchange rate regimes. A three-region model, the Centre, the Periphery and the Rest-of-the-World, is constructed.The present paper finds that, under floating...

After the political unification of Hong Kong with China, Hong Kong is supposed to function as a separate economic entity under the framework of one country, two systems. However, the increasingly close ties between the two economies, particularly in recent years, have raised the possibility of...