Little is known about the total factor productivity of the non-tradable sectors in China. In this paper we estimate productivity growth of the non-tradable sectors by studying the relative price movements of the non-tradable sectors vis-à-vis the tradable sectors, i.e. changes in the internal...

This study applies a two-sector model to examine the conditions under which the excess labour force can be reallocated from the tradable to the nontradable sector during structural transformation. We find that to maintain employment stability, output in the nontradable sector should be...

This study investigates the impact of demographic changes on inflation in Hong Kong, Singapore and Mainland China using the structural VAR methodology. It shows an increase in the youth population is inflationary, while an increase in the aging population is disinflationary. By affecting...

International experience points to the critical role of stable property markets in maintaining financial stability. In China, the real estate sector has become increasingly important for the economy, but existing evidence has likely understated its importance as its linkages with other sectors...

Our analysis based on firm-level data indicates that China's corporate sector does not appear to be over-leveraged in aggregate despite rapid credit growth following the global financial crisis. However, some industries, particularly real estate developers and firms in industries with...

This paper studies the theoretical implications of structural transformation and demographic transition in Mainland China for its domestic economy and the world interest rates. Our proposed model predicts that the transition from a manufacturing-oriented economy to a service-oriented economy...

The rapid rise in the price of housing in Mainland China in the past decade raised concerns over the potential risks to the economy, leading to the implementation of a policy that placed a limit on housing purchases in many cities in 2010 and 2011. This paper, by using the...