This paper estimates switching autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (SWARCH) time series models for weekly returns of nine Asian forward exchange rates. We find two regimes with different volatility levels, whereby each regime displays considerable persistence. Our analysis provides...

This paper discusses the macroeconomic effects of China's informal banking regulatory tool “window guidance,” introduced in 1998. Using an open-economy DSGE model that includes the commercial banking sector, we study the stabilizing effects of this non-standard quantitative monetary policy...

The paper sheds light on the interplay between monetary policy, the commercial banking sector and the shadow banking sector in mainland China by means of a nonlinear stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with occasionally binding constraints. In particular, we analyze the impacts of...

Persistent producer price deflation in China and other Asian economies has become a genuine concern for policymakers. In August 2016, China's producer prices were down 12.4 percent from their peak in 2011, following a 54-month stretch of consecutive negative producer price readings (March 2012...

The New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) posits the dynamics of inflation as forward looking and related to marginal costs. In this paper we examine the empirical relevance of the NKPC for mainland China. The empirical results indicate that an augmented (hybrid) NKPC gives results that are...

This paper adds to the literature on wealth effects on consumption by disentangling house price effects on consumption for mainland China. In a stochastic modelling framework, the riskiness, rate of increase and persistence of house price movements have different implications for the...