This paper discusses the macroeconomic effects of China's informal banking regulatory tool “window guidance,” introduced in 1998. Using an open-economy DSGE model that includes the commercial banking sector, we study the stabilizing effects of this non-standard quantitative monetary policy...

Persistent producer price deflation in China and other Asian economies has become a genuine concern for policymakers. In August 2016, China's producer prices were down 12.4 percent from their peak in 2011, following a 54-month stretch of consecutive negative producer price readings (March 2012...

This paper presents a theoretical model in which the supply of international dollar credit by a global bank is responsive to unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) both in the US and its home country, the functioning of the FX swap market and the bank's default risk. The theoretical model is...

This paper provides a non-technical summary of two recent empirical studies to shed light on key important issues regarding the implementation of loan-to-value (LTV) policy as a macroprudential tool, including its effectiveness, potential drawbacks and its transmission mechanism to improve...

Using a regulatory dataset of foreign bank branches in Hong Kong, this study finds evidence of the international transmission of funding shocks from home countries of global banks through their internal capital markets during the 2007-08 financial crisis. Global banks are found to buffer...

This paper sheds light on the transmission mechanism of loan-to-value (LTV) policy to financial stability by providing three findings from Hong Kong. First, there is evidence that LTV cap tightening since 2009 has dampened both borrowers' leverage and credit growth, and that lower leverage has...

This paper uses the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) framework to study the impact on the Hong Kong economy of the diverging monetary policies by the Fed, ECB and BoJ as well as the Mainland economy slowdown. The empirical results show that changes in US monetary policy mainly affect interest...

We examine the impact of Chinese monetary policies on excess local bond yields (the spreads over Chinese government bonds), on local bonds issued by Chinese local government entities. We find that an expansion in M2 generally raises the excess yields on bonds issued by local government entities,...

This paper adds to the literature on wealth effects on consumption by disentangling house price effects on consumption for mainland China. In a stochastic modelling framework, the riskiness, rate of increase and persistence of house price movements have different implications for the...

The New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) posits the dynamics of inflation as forward looking and related to marginal costs. In this paper we examine the empirical relevance of the NKPC for mainland China. The empirical results indicate that an augmented (hybrid) NKPC gives results that are...