This paper is written by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Pierre Siklos (Wilfrid Laurier University and Balsillie school of International Affairs).Digitalization, spurred by the pandemic, has accelerated plans by many central banks to introduce retail...

This paper studies the relationship between residential property prices and lending in Hong Kong. This is an interesting topic for three reasons. First, swings in property prices have been extremely large and frequent in Hong Kong. Second, under the currency board regime, monetary policy can not...

This paper studies the nexus between the property market and the macroeconomy of Mainland China in 1998-2004, using panel data models covering 31 provinces and major cities. The estimates suggest three main conclusions. First, there seemed to be a two-way linkage between property price and GDP...

This study presents evidence of the renminbi's growing influence in the Asia-Pacific region. The CNH market – the offshore renminbi foreign exchange market in Hong Kong SAR – is found to exert an effect on Asian currencies that is distinct from that of the onshore (CNY) market. Changes in...

This report identifies a set of policy lessons for China today drawn from the experience of financial deregulation, financial crisis and recovery in Scandinavia during the period 1985-2000. Although there are considerable differences between the huge Chinese economy and the small Nordic...

This paper tries to quantify the financing needs in the Belt and Road countries and industries by using firm-level data from 2009 to 2014. By examining financial constraints of firms in the Belt and Road countries, this study constructs a Financing Needs Index for Belt and Road countries and...

This paper discusses the macroeconomic effects of China's informal banking regulatory tool “window guidance,” introduced in 1998. Using an open-economy DSGE model that includes the commercial banking sector, we study the stabilizing effects of this non-standard quantitative monetary policy...

This paper identifies five factors that can capture 95% of the variance across 39 US dollar exchange rates based on the principal component method. A time-varying parameter factor-augmented vector autoregressive (TVP-FAVAR) model is used to analyze the determinants of movements in these exchange...

In moving from a quantity to an interest rate-based policy framework, the PBoC uses a variety of monetary policy instruments and intermediate targets, which is different from central banks of main industrial countries. Contrary to most studies on overall effects of monetary policy, this research...

Persistent producer price deflation in China and other Asian economies has become a genuine concern for policymakers. In August 2016, China's producer prices were down 12.4 percent from their peak in 2011, following a 54-month stretch of consecutive negative producer price readings (March 2012...