Showing 1 - 10 of 14
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin probabilities. The event frequency is modelled with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003621
We examine convenience yields in the EU-wide CO2 emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS) during the first Kyoto commitment period (2008-2012). We find that the market has changed from initial backwardation to contango with significantly negative convenience yields in futures contracts. We further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011199249
In this paper we address the issue of modeling spot electricity prices. After summarizing the stylized facts about spot electricity prices, we review a number of models proposed in the literature. Afterwards we fit a jump diffusion and a regime switching model to spot prices from the Nordic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003610
In this paper we investigate the relationship between spot and futures prices within the EU-wide CO2 emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS). We conduct an empirical study on price behavior, volatility term structure and correlations in different CO2 EU Allowance (EUA) contracts during the pilot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010626156
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781668
For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider several multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals to have different indices of tail thickness. After a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011259
We consider a new approach towards stochastic dominance rules which allows measuring the degree of domination or violation of a given stochastic order and represents a way of describing stochastic orders in general. Examples are provided for the n-th order stochastic dominance and stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540275
We compare in a backtesting study the performance of univariate models for Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall based on stable laws and on extreme value theory (EVT). Analyzing these different approaches, we test whether the sum–stability assumption or the max–stability assumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970128
This paper examines the pricing of barrier options when the price of the underlying asset is modeled by a branching process in a random environment (BPRE). We derive an analytical formula for the price of an up-and-out call option, one form of a barrier option. Calibration of the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468968
This paper discusses and analyzes risk measure properties in order to understand how a risk measure has to be used to optimize the investor's portfolio choices. In particular, we distinguish between two admissible classes of risk measures proposed in the portfolio literature: safety-risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005060210