This paper studies banks' loan pricing behaviour in mainland China from 2003-2013 by applying panel regressions to firm-level loan data and estimated default likelihood for listed companies. We find that, with the progress of market-oriented financial reforms, banks generally require...

The emergence and persistence of basis spreads in cross-currency basis swaps (CCBSs) since the global financial crisis have become a mystery in international finance, as they violate the long standing principle of covered interest parity (CIP). We argue that the phenomenon is no mystery but...

This paper puts forward a theory to explain the relationship among the spot exchange rate, the forward exchange rate and the interest differential between two countries in the presence of counterparty credit risk and funding liquidity risk. We argue that covered interest parity deviations...

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the effects of Computer-based Trad-ing (CBT) on Treasury bond expected returns. We document a strong relationship between bond expected returns and the overall intensity at which CBT takes place in the Treasury market. Investing in bonds with the...

This working paper is written by Cho-Hoi Hui (Hong Kong Monetary Authority), Paul Luk (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research), Giorgio Valente (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Gabriel Wu (Hong Kong Monetary Authority).We study the joint...

This working paper was written by Ka-Fai L (Hong Kong Monetary Authority), Cho-Hoi Hui (Hong Kong Monetary Authority) and Tsz-Kin Chung (Hong Kong Monetary Authority).Price disparities between the renminbi onshore deliverable forward and offshore non-deliverable forward exchange rates is an...

This working paper was written by Ronald McKinnon (Stanford University) and Gunther Schnabl (Tübingen University).Rapidly growing Chinese exports are middle-tech––and increasingly high-tech––manufactured goods. China runs a huge and growing bilateral trade surplus with the United...

This working paper was written by Juan Carlos Martinez Oliva (Bank of Italy).In view of the debate on exchange rate stabilization in Asia, this paper introduces a new and original approach to the determination of equilibrium real exchange rates (ERER) across ASEAN+3. Existing literature usually...

This working paper was written by Yin-wong Cheung (University of California, Santa Cruz) and Jude Yuen (University of California, Santa Cruz).The study assesses the level of integration among the three Greater China economies (namely China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan) and examines the suitability of...

This working paper was written by Cho-Hoi Hui (Hong Kong Monetary Authority), Andrew Wong(Hong Kong Monetary Authority) and Chi-Fai Lo (The Chinese University of Hong Kong).This note uses a target-zone model to study the bond yield movements under yield curve control. The bond yield is assumed...