This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Applications of multiple imputation have long outgrown the traditional context of dealing with item nonresponse in cross-sectional datasets. Nowadays multiple imputation is also applied to impute missing values in hierarchical datasets, address confidentiality concerns, combine data from...

We discuss the design and examine the inflow of participants in two new subsidised employment programmes (§ 16 e/i German Social Code II) that aim to help long-term welfare recipients in Germany to find a job and increase their social participation. We describe the programmes in terms of goals...

In this paper we examine how employment and hiring processes develop in the course of digitalisation in German establishments. To this end we use a large representative business survey - the IAB Job Vacancy Survey - that was extended in 2015 to include special questions about the state of...

Der Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit Selektivität beim Zugang in Maßnahmen beruflicher Weiterbildung. Im Rahmen der "Initiative zur Flankierung des Strukturwandels" (IFlaS) fördert die Bundesagentur für Arbeit (BA) Weiterbildungsmaßnahmen für gering qualifizierte Arbeitslose. Damit soll den...

This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between German output and employment growth, in particular their decoupling in recent years. We estimate a correlated unobserved components model that allows for both persistent and cyclical time variation in the employment impact of GDP as...

We consider Roy's economies with perfectly competitive labor markets and asymmetric information. Firms choose their investments in physical capital before observing the characteristics of the labor markets they will face. We provide conditions under which equilibrium allocations are constrained...

In zahlreichen Studien zeigt sich der Einfluss von Risikobereitschaft auf individuelles Verhalten in unterschiedlichen Bereichen wie etwa Rauchen, Portfolioinvestitionen und auch Bildungsentscheidungen. Es gibt jedoch kaum Evidenz darüber, ob und welchen Einfluss Risikoeinstellungen von Eltern...

During the recession of 2008-09 Germany experienced a huge decrease in GDP. Employment, however, remained surprisingly stable. The so-called German labor market miracle is often ascribed to the intensive usage of short-time work. Despite the resurgence of this instrument, little is known about...

We consider an economy where production may use labor of two different skill levels. Workers are heterogeneous and, by investing in education, self-select into one of the two skills. Ex-ante, when firms choose their investments in physical capital, they do not know the level of human capital...