Why do people save? A strand of the literature has emphasized the role of ‘precautionary' motives; i.e., private agents save in order to mitigate unexpected future income shocks. An implication is that in countries faced with more macroeconomic volatility and risk, private saving should be...

We study the daily behavior of supermarket prices and product availability following two recent natural disasters: the 2010 earthquake in Chile and the 2011 earthquake in Japan. In both cases there was an immediate and persistent effect on product availability. The number of goods available for...

This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains that a small open economy can derive from insuring against natural disasters with catastrophe (CAT) bonds. We calibrate the model by reference to the risk of earthquakes, floods and storms in developing countries. We find...

Europe faces challenges reminiscent of Latin American financial crises. The failure of recent liquidity support to normalize the situation in Europe suggests the need to refocus the policy debate on fundamentals: structural reform for growth and, where needed, restructuring to resolve banking...

The template presented in this note is concerned with the evaluation of the sustainability of total government debt, regardless of whether the creditor is a domestic or foreign resident, a public or private entity or the jurisdiction where the debt was issued (in the case of bonded debt). The...

Esta edición de IDEA fue inspirada por la gran cantidad de preguntas suscitadas por los desastres naturales registrados últimamente en el mundo en desarrollo. Pregunta porque algunas economías sean más resistentes que otras a las catástrofes naturales y analiza los efectos económicos a...

Latin America is growing fast and fundamentals look healthier. Are these achievements here to stay? Strong commodity prices may not last forever and a US recession could have major repercussions in the region. Should countries prepare now for tomorrow's crisis? What is the top-ten list on the...

Esta edición de IDEA se basa en un nuevo libro del BID, Lidiar con una situación de restricción del crédito a nivel internacional: políticas de respuesta a paradas súbitas en América Latina. A partir de investigaciones que han explorado la experiencia de la región con paradas súbitas de...

While public debt ratios in Latin America increased in 2009 amid the global financial crisis, they remain below levels reached following the Asian and Russian crises of the late 1990s. Moreover, debt composition has continued to shift towards "safer" debt (domestic debt with a higher prevalence...

Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...