Showing 1 - 10 of 14
A number of authors have used the concept of an optimum currency area (or OCA) index to assess the relative proximity of various pairs of economies to the ideal of an optimum currency area. Alas, a significant deficiency of this approach as used so far is that it provides no room for long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229362
We simulate how the probability of failure of a subsidiary and the group changes after a capital buffer is imposed on the group as a whole and/or the subsidiary. The simulation takes into account the relative sizes of the parent and the subsidiary, the parent's share in the subsidiary, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429964
We predict that GDP will grow 1.5 % in 2000 after falling 0.2 % in 1999. Sluggish growth in 2000 will be driven by domestic demand, namely fixed investment. Interest rates set by the CNB are now in a "parking zone". Two-week repo rate remains at 5.25 %. We do not expect any significant (upward)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005258258
One of the two laureates of the Nobel Prize for economics in 2002 is Daniel Kahneman. After taking a brief look at Kahneman's life, the present article surveys his contributions to our understanding of three aspects of human decision making: judgment, comparison of alternatives and types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963571
Transitivity and dominance are key concepts built deep into the fundaments of most economic models of decision-making. One of the arguments in favour of using the two concepts is that they are normative, i.e., symptomatic of perfect, rational decision-making. This paper describes several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963582
The aim of text was a presentation of brief non-mathematical basic features of individual decision-making models in contemporary economics theories. The text described models are divided into two groups: the first one is "reflection models", the second one "comparison models".
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011876
This paper summarizes the major events in the recent history of modelling human decisions under risk. After presenting the basics of expected utility theory, the key pieces of evidence are described which showed that under certain circumstances, this theory is not descriptively valid. The most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036591
The relatively new stream of research on various types of utilities is reviewed and discussed together with some of its implications. The distinction is explained among experienced utility, remembered utility and predicted utility as three candidates for decision utility. Examples of selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036702
The paper argues that the prices of financial instruments contain usefulinformation about the development of different macroeconomic variables. Itsfocus lies in examining the ability of stock prices and of spread betweenlong and shor interest rates to predict real economic activity. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005258039
This paper sheds some light on situations in which monetary and macroprudential policies may interact (and potentially get into conflict) and contributes to the discussion about the coordination of those policies. Using data for the Czech Republic and five euro area countries we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568572