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We use the behavioral equilibirum exchange rate (BEER) approach to examine the extent of real exchange rate misalignment in the euro area over the period 1980-2014. In a panel data setting, we find significant links between real exchange rates, relative productivity, trade balance and terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505006
A number of authors have used the concept of an optimum currency area (or OCA) index to assess the relative proximity of various pairs of economies to the ideal of an optimum currency area. Alas, a significant deficiency of this approach as used so far is that it provides no room for long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229362
The alternative specifications of the behavioural equilibrium exchange rate models (the BEERs) and their permanent counterparts (the PEERs) often deliver diverse estimates of the equilibrium exchange rate. In the case of the Czech koruna against the euro exchange rate, the discrepancy among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122566
In this paper, we revisit the relationship between economic growth and exchange rate misalignments, especially undervaluations. In particular, we ask which countries benefit from undervaluations at most, and whether the impact of undervaluations on growth depends on institutional quality as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261830
This paper examines the determinants of inflation differentials across member states of the African Economic Community (AEC). The results suggest that exchange rate depreciation, GDP per capita growth, price divergence, fiscal deficit, and periods of economic instability all contribute to higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015272020
The paper contributes to understanding the economic dynamics at the zero lower bound and the exchange rate movements under different central bank intervention regimes. It provides a theoretical framework for modeling foreign exchange interventions at the ZLB within a dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532424
We examine exchange rate pass-through, or how domestic prices respond to exchange rate shocks, in the Czech Republic from 1998 to 2013 by employing vector autoregression models. Using the aggregate consumer price index and its sub-components, we find that the degree of passthrough is incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529885
Meta-analysis upweights studies reporting lower standard errors and hence more precision. But in empirical practice, notably in observational research, precision is not given to the researcher. Precision must be estimated, and thus can be p-hacked to achieve statistical significance. Simulations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013555608
We formulate a bivariate stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model with correlated jumps and volatilities. An MCMC Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithm is proposed to estimate the model's parameters and latent state variables (jumps and stochastic volatilities) given observed returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009373436
This paper deals with the risk management of savings accounts. Savings accounts are non-maturing accounts bearing a relatively attractive rate of return and two embedded options: a customer's option to withdraw money at any time and a bank's option to set the deposit as it wishes. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344157