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In this paper we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The extension we propose is based on a p-values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009686159
The paper presents a computationally efficient method to solve overlapping gener- ations models with asset choice. The method is used to study an OLG economy with many cohorts, up to 3 different assets, stochastic volatility, short-sale constraints, and subject to rather large technology shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419889
In evaluating prediction models, many researchers flank comparative ex-ante prediction experiments by significance tests on accuracy improvement, such as the Diebold-Mariano test. We argue that basing the choice of prediction models on such significance tests is problematic, as this practice may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009685472
Once New Keynesian (NK) theory (see, e.g., Woodford 2003) is combined with a standard model of investment (see, e … elasticity of investment, as implied by standard investment theory. In order to address this puzzle we develop a NK model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619174
size and on the prediction horizon. In a corresponding application to real-world data, simple averaging performs best. Uni …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459181
Abstract Comparative ex-ante prediction experiments over expanding subsamples are a popular tool for the task of selecting the best forecasting model class in finite samples of practical relevance. Flanking such a horse race by predictive-accuracy tests, such as the test by Diebold and Mariano...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895825
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906322
If some of the returns to migration accrue from return migration, the optimal duration of migration may be shorter than the feasible duration of migration. We develop a model that provides and highlights conditions under which return migration takes place even though a reversal of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009698205
We demonstrate how altruism can flourish in a population of nonaltruists. We assume that each individual plays a one-shot prisoner's dilemma game with his or her sibling and that the probability than an individual survives to reproduce is proportional to his or her payoff in this game. We model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009699420